Beating the Spread week 6

Season recap 37-23

STL +15 @ GB

GB 38 – 27 ---- STL

PHI -3 @ WAS

PHI 31-27 ---- PHI

SF +4.5 @ DET

DET 24-17 ---- DET

CAR +5 @ ATL

ATL 27 -24 ---- CAR

IND +6.5 @ CIN

CIN 20-16 ---- IND

BUF +3.5 @ NYG

NYG 34 - 24 ---- NYG

HOU + 7 @ BAL

HOU 24-20 ---- HOU

CLE +6.5 @ OAK

OAK 31-17 ---- OAK

DAL +7 @ NE

DAL 34 - 24 ---- DAL

NO -5.5 @ TB

NO 27-24 ---- TB

MIN +2.5 @ CHI

CHI 24 - 17---- CHI

MIA +6.5 @ NYJ

NYJ 20 - 13 ---- NYJ

Pick ups of the week (week 6)

Tim Tebow - Normally when teams bench their starting QB its in favor of their back up, but move over Brady "now I'm done" Quinn.... It's Tebow Time! After countless chants, riots and cult gatherings in the Denver area it appears John Fox is ready to go with the peoples choice. When Timmy entered the game he provided an instant spark. An entirely different energy to the team. Tebow brought them all the way back to with in one 30 yard strike away from victory. The game was perhaps the most celebrated loss in Broncos history as the fans were seemingly not concerned with the outcome but rather the simple fact that Timmy Tebow was under center. Despite his mediocre passing skills Tebow was the top fantasy QB weeks 15-17 (his only starts) of last season. You might consider him Cam Newton light. He's not going to put up gaudy passing numbers but his rushing production will more than make up for it making him start worthy in 12 team leagues. A man once said "If you are fortunate enough to spend five minutes around Tim Tebow, your life is better for it." If thats true just think of what he will do to your fantasy team.

Jackie Battle - Their is a new sheriff in KC and his name is Jackie Battle. Out from the depths of the KC roster Battle jumped on to the scene accounting for 140 total yards in spite of receiving just 1 first quarter carry. Battle, an undrafted 4 yr vet with just 51 career carries prior to Sunday doesn't carry the highest of pedigrees. However one could say the same thing of Freddy "action" Jackson who went undrafted out of Coe College. Jackson didn't get his first start till he was 28 (same age as Battle is now). Many will discount Battle's breakout game as a one hit wonder, but with the Cheifs offense getting back on track and Battle the only ball carrier in KC worthy of workhorse type carries, he is a must add in all leagues

Doug Baldwin - With teams rolling coverages to Sidney Rice things have really opened up for Baldwin who now has 3 80+ yard performances through 5 games thus far. Whether its Jackson or Shane Falco.... I mean Charlie Whitehurst under center Baldwin will continue to be a useful WR3 especially with the byes rolling in. Baldwin is a good buy in 12 team and deeper leagues.

Lee Evans - Evans isn't quite 100% yet but he is close to it after the bye week. He should play and provide plug in play totals against the Houston Texans this week. Remember Flacco's favorite thing to do is go deep (the ravens play action more than anyone in the league) and thats what Evans specializes in. Snag Evans now while you still can for he and Flacco might just begin a reign of terror on Defensive secondaries.

Titus Young - The Lions have obviously been stellar, but they have still yet to live up to their immense potential. Stafford has overthrown Young a couple times on deep passes this year which is something I wouldn't look to continue for too long. Young's role in the offense will continue to grow and this week they play the Niners a team that is suceptible to the long ball. Young is a nice fliar this week and someone to stash for later in the year.

Greg Little - McCoy has been lobbying to get Little more involved. After their bye week Little has been promoted to the starting line up. He's by far their most explosive player. His promotion after a bye week could be a foreshadowing that they are now set to make him their primary WR.

Early Doucet - Any WR who receives 16 targets in one game deserves roster consideration. He has Andre Roberts far out classed in talent and production. As the Cardinals head into a bye they may just make Doucet the starter as they need a spark offensively.

Harry Douglas - With Julio Jones battleing a hamstring injury Harry Douglas will likely step into the starting line up this week. Douglas has excellent hands and is a very explosive WR. He's a solid plug in play this week against the Panthers in what could be a shootout.

Danario Alexander - The snap total for the Rams most Talented WR have increased weekly. The only things that can hold him back are his knees. He has had no trouble with them thus far and coming off a bye only assures that. The winless Rams need to get things clicking offensively. They will need to get the ball into the hands of their best players. They have had a bye week to better adapt to Josh McDaniels system and draw a very beatable fantasy match up against the Packers this week (30th against the pass)

Delone Carter - I feel obligated to mention Carter's name with Addai set to miss at least one game. Carter doesn't have much upside, but he will serve as an emergency plug in play as long as Addai is out.

Beating the Spread Week 5

Season Recap: 29-20

KC +2.5 @ IND ---- IND

PHI -2.5 @ BUF ---- PHI

OAK +6 @ HOU ---- OAK

CIN +2.5 @ JAC ---- CIN

SEA +10 @ NYG ---- SEA

TB +3 @ SF ---- TB

NYJ +7.5 @ NE ---- NE

SD -3.5 @ DEN ---- SD

GB -6 @ ATL ---- GB

CHI +5.5 @ DET ---- DET

Sit Start Week 5

START

Josh Freeman - The Niners are 4th in the league against the run but 27th against the pass, thus the Bucs will lean heavily on Freeman. The opportunity for big plays will be their as the Niners have allowed 5 pass plays of at least 40 yards which puts them in a tie for second most given up. Projected stats: 26-36 for 294 yards 2 TDs 4 rushes for 21 yards

Isaac Redman - Redman is a tackle breaking machine and has been the most effective short yardage runner in the Steelers backfield over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee does rank 8th against the run, but with Redmans likely 20+ touch workload and his career 4.8 ypc he still holds enough upside to end the day with RB 2 totals. Projected stats: 21 carries 82 yards 3 catches 24 yards 1 TD

Mark Ingram - The Saints will look to the ground more than usual in this one with the Panthers giving up over 143 yards rushing per game and Brees failed to throw for 300 yards in either start against them last season. With high scoring offense of the Saints (32 ppg) and the generous Panther defense (25.5 ppg) Ingram has definite multi TD potential. Projected stats: 17 carries 84 yards 2 TDs

Sidney Rice - The Giants have given up 15 pass plays of at least 20 yards, something Rice specializes in (getting down field). Tavaris Jackson is coming off a 300 yard game and Rice has eclipsed double digit fantasy points in his two starts on the year. Seattle should also be playing from behind, increasing the pass attempts and leaving the possibility for nice garbage time production. Projected stats: 6 catches 102 yards 1 TD

Donald Jones - Lead the team in targets last week and is second behind Steve Johnson for the team lead on the year. Jones is a coaches favorite with a high snap total. Gailey has stated that Jones's role in the offense will continue to grow as the season goes on. This week they face the Eagles, a team in must win mode who will light up the score board against the very generous Bills defense (allowing over 400 yards of offense per game). Steve Johnson will draw Nnamdi Asomugha likely shutting him down forcing Fitzpatrick to look elsewhere. Jones should be where he looks the most, making Jones a nice play this week. Projected stats: 7 catches 90 yards 1 TD

Pierre Garcon - Curtis Painter may be a below average QB, but hes much more familiar with the Colts offense than Collins. Painter also has a strong enough arm to better utilize Garcon's skill set. They just missed hooking up for a TD against the Steelers but connected for 2 long scores against the Bucs. Garcon is the most explosive player on the colts roster and has a very beatable match up this week against KC who has surrendered the 5th most pass plays of 20 yards or more. Projected stats: 4 catches 70 yards 1 TD

Cincinnati Defense - The Bengals have the leagues top defense and a match up against the leagues 31st offense with a Rookie QB should have fantasy owners salivating. They held the high powered Bills to just 20 points and should have no problem holding the Jags offense to even less. Projected stats: 9 points allowed 3 sacks 2 Turnovers Forced.

Fliars/desperation plug ins:

Preston Parker/Arrelious Benn, Kendall Hunter, Stevan Ridley, Titus Young, Dane Sazenbacher, Jackie Battle, Victor Cruz, Mark Sanchez

SIT

Matt Schuab - The Texans were already in a run heavy mind set before the return of Foster and the injury to Andre Johnson. Now they will only run the ball even more especially in a match up against the leagues 29th run defense. Projected stats: 18-26 200 yards 1 TD

LeGarrette Blount - Will be facing the leagues 4th best run defense this week. A team that held Lesean McCoy to just 18 yards on the ground. Blount holds little upside in this gruesome match up. Projected stats: 17 carries 60 yards 0TDs.

Michael Turner -The Packers are likely to build a lead early in this game and they hold the leagues 2nd best run defense. Not the best of combinations for production. Tuner seems destined for a down game. Projected stats: 17 carries 68 yards 1 catch 8 yards.

Stevie Johnson - A match up against Nnamdi is a death sentence for fantasy production. Held Hakeem Nicks to just 25 yards and as good as Johnson is he isn't Nicks. Projected stats: 3 catches 36 yards

Wes Welker - The Jets held him under 60 yards in their playoff meeting in January and it has already been noted that Revis will match up against him often. Welker is virtually impossible to bench, but if your in a league with 10 men or less and have good WR depth the opportunity for crafty managing is here. Projected stats: 7 catches for 68 yards

Marques Colston - Colston is still coming back from injury and had just 9 catches for a total of 149 yards in his last 4 games against the Panthers (just a 37.25 ypg average). The Panthers are 31st against the run and Brees is always a spread the wealth QB with Jimmy Graham and Lance Moore as his guys in crucial situations. Unless he can find the endzone Colston will produce little for fantasy owners. Projected Stats: 4 catches for 41 yards

Others who could disappoint

Cedric Benson, Drew Brees, Beanie Wells, Steve Smith

Pick Ups of the Week. (bye week edition)

Must Adds in all Leagues

Stevan Ridley - After his 97 yard outburst on Sunday his ypc average is now 7.9. His the best RB in New England and his role is only growing. His schedule is tough over the next few weeks, but over the stretch run of Fantasy he has games against KC, PHI, IND, WAS, DEN, MIA, BUF weeks 11-17. Ridley has late season Gem written all over him. Stash him away now and reap the benefits later.

Ryan Torrain - Reports late last week were that Shanahan was close to benching Hightower in favor of Torrain during the game against the Cowboys. This week he pulled the trigger. The Redskins RB situation will continue to be hazy throughout the season but whoever starts is an RB2. Right now it appears The Torrain Train is a full go.

Isaac Redman - Early reports are Mendenhall and Moore will miss this weeks game against the Titans giving  Redman a full workload. He has been the most effective back for the Steelers on the season particularly in short yardage situations. He's a great bye week plug in.

Bernard Scott - Cedric Benson will be suspended at some point, missing multiple games. Scott would become a 3 down RB giving him plenty of Fantasy upside

Michael Crabtree - He's back the Niners offense is showing signs of life. Crabtree received 9 targets last week. He's a mid level WR3 as it stands now, but with further improvements to their offense Crabtree could become a WR2 by years end.

Victor Cruz - He's become much more than a Preseason sensation. Last week the Giants benched Mario Manningham in favor of Cruz. Cruz again produced. He's averaged 104 yards in his last 2 games. Even with Manningham in the mix the Giants can support 3 WR's and Cruz will still hold WR3 value especially with the bye weeks rolling in.

Bye Week Fliars

Pierre Garcon - Curtis Painter may be a below average QB, but hes much more familiar with the Colts offense than Collins. Painter also has a strong enough arm to better utilize Garcon's skill set. They just missed hooking up for a TD against the Steelers but connected for 2 long scores against the Bucs. Garcon is the most explosive player on the colts roster and has a very beatable match up this week against KC

Arrelious Benn - Benn Flashed his skill set on a 62 yard catch last night, breaking numerous tackles and exploding down field for a score which was negated. His targets are still scarce but his talent is undeniable. This week and weeks that follow the Bucs face teams stout against the run but suceptible to plays downfield. Leaving the potential for Benn to have productive games as the teams lone deep threat.

Kevin Walter/ Jacoby Jones - With Andre Johnson set to miss "some time" the Texans will have to look elsewhere for downfield option. Owen Daniels is likely to be the main beneficiary and their Run Heavy approach is make it tough to consistently support even one wide out. One of them should emerge as a good plug in play while Andre is sidelined. Walter being the safer option with Jones holding much more upside.

Donald Jones - Lead the team in targets this week and has a growing role in one of the most explosive offenses. He's a team favorite and HC Chan Gailey has already said he wants to get Jones the ball more. This week he faces the Eagles who are likely to shutdown Stevie Johnson leavin Fitzpatrick to look elsewhere and the Eagle have given up production to number 2 WRs thus far.

Beating the Spread Week 4

MIN -2 @ KC ---- MIN

NO -7 @ JAC ---- NO

BUF -3 @ CIN ---- BUF

DET +1.5 @ DAL ---- DET

SF -8.5 @ PHI ---- PHI

WAS -2 @ STL ---- WAS

TEN -1 @ CLE ---- TEN

ATL -5 @ SEA ---- ATL

NYG -2 @ ARI ---- NYG

MIA +6.5 @ SD ---- SD

DEN +12 @ GB ---- GB

NE -6 @ OAK ---- NE

NYJ +4.5 @ BAL ---- NYJ

IND +10 @ TB ---- IND