Friday, October 7, 2011

Sit Start Week 5



START

Josh Freeman - The Niners are 4th in the league against the run but 27th against the pass, thus the Bucs will lean heavily on Freeman. The opportunity for big plays will be their as the Niners have allowed 5 pass plays of at least 40 yards which puts them in a tie for second most given up. Projected stats: 26-36 for 294 yards 2 TDs 4 rushes for 21 yards

Isaac Redman - Redman is a tackle breaking machine and has been the most effective short yardage runner in the Steelers backfield over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee does rank 8th against the run, but with Redmans likely 20+ touch workload and his career 4.8 ypc he still holds enough upside to end the day with RB 2 totals. Projected stats: 21 carries 82 yards 3 catches 24 yards 1 TD

Mark Ingram - The Saints will look to the ground more than usual in this one with the Panthers giving up over 143 yards rushing per game and Brees failed to throw for 300 yards in either start against them last season. With high scoring offense of the Saints (32 ppg) and the generous Panther defense (25.5 ppg) Ingram has definite multi TD potential. Projected stats: 17 carries 84 yards 2 TDs

Sidney Rice - The Giants have given up 15 pass plays of at least 20 yards, something Rice specializes in (getting down field). Tavaris Jackson is coming off a 300 yard game and Rice has eclipsed double digit fantasy points in his two starts on the year. Seattle should also be playing from behind, increasing the pass attempts and leaving the possibility for nice garbage time production. Projected stats: 6 catches 102 yards 1 TD

Donald Jones - Lead the team in targets last week and is second behind Steve Johnson for the team lead on the year. Jones is a coaches favorite with a high snap total. Gailey has stated that Jones's role in the offense will continue to grow as the season goes on. This week they face the Eagles, a team in must win mode who will light up the score board against the very generous Bills defense (allowing over 400 yards of offense per game). Steve Johnson will draw Nnamdi Asomugha likely shutting him down forcing Fitzpatrick to look elsewhere. Jones should be where he looks the most, making Jones a nice play this week. Projected stats: 7 catches 90 yards 1 TD

Pierre Garcon - Curtis Painter may be a below average QB, but hes much more familiar with the Colts offense than Collins. Painter also has a strong enough arm to better utilize Garcon's skill set. They just missed hooking up for a TD against the Steelers but connected for 2 long scores against the Bucs. Garcon is the most explosive player on the colts roster and has a very beatable match up this week against KC who has surrendered the 5th most pass plays of 20 yards or more. Projected stats: 4 catches 70 yards 1 TD

Cincinnati Defense - The Bengals have the leagues top defense and a match up against the leagues 31st offense with a Rookie QB should have fantasy owners salivating. They held the high powered Bills to just 20 points and should have no problem holding the Jags offense to even less. Projected stats: 9 points allowed 3 sacks 2 Turnovers Forced.

Fliars/desperation plug ins:

Preston Parker/Arrelious Benn, Kendall Hunter, Stevan Ridley, Titus Young, Dane Sazenbacher, Jackie Battle, Victor Cruz, Mark Sanchez

SIT

Matt Schuab - The Texans were already in a run heavy mind set before the return of Foster and the injury to Andre Johnson. Now they will only run the ball even more especially in a match up against the leagues 29th run defense. Projected stats: 18-26 200 yards 1 TD

LeGarrette Blount - Will be facing the leagues 4th best run defense this week. A team that held Lesean McCoy to just 18 yards on the ground. Blount holds little upside in this gruesome match up. Projected stats: 17 carries 60 yards 0TDs.

Michael Turner -The Packers are likely to build a lead early in this game and they hold the leagues 2nd best run defense. Not the best of combinations for production. Tuner seems destined for a down game. Projected stats: 17 carries 68 yards 1 catch 8 yards.

Stevie Johnson - A match up against Nnamdi is a death sentence for fantasy production. Held Hakeem Nicks to just 25 yards and as good as Johnson is he isn't Nicks. Projected stats: 3 catches 36 yards

Wes Welker - The Jets held him under 60 yards in their playoff meeting in January and it has already been noted that Revis will match up against him often. Welker is virtually impossible to bench, but if your in a league with 10 men or less and have good WR depth the opportunity for crafty managing is here. Projected stats: 7 catches for 68 yards

Marques Colston - Colston is still coming back from injury and had just 9 catches for a total of 149 yards in his last 4 games against the Panthers (just a 37.25 ypg average). The Panthers are 31st against the run and Brees is always a spread the wealth QB with Jimmy Graham and Lance Moore as his guys in crucial situations. Unless he can find the endzone Colston will produce little for fantasy owners. Projected Stats: 4 catches for 41 yards

Others who could disappoint

Cedric Benson, Drew Brees, Beanie Wells, Steve Smith

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